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UBS

June 18, 2026

CIO View Commodities

Market ReportCommoditiesEnergyOther

UBS maintains a constructive view on broad commodity exposure as a hedge against inflation and supply disruptions. The firm highlights electrification and geopolitical uncertainty as key drivers for the asset class.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Commodities provide valuable hedging against inflation and supply shocks with low correlation to equities and bonds.
  • 2.Agriculture markets are diverging; corn remains attractive due to demand, while weather-sensitive softs (cocoa, coffee, sugar) show upside potential due to El Niño.

Table of Contents

  • CIO View: Commodities
  • Gold
  • Energy
  • Industrial metals
  • Agriculture
  • Appendix

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Authors

Giovanni StaunovoWayne GordonDominic Schnider

Securities

CMCI Agriculture TR Index

Themes

Energy TransitionEl NiñoSupply Chain Tightness

Regions

Asia PacificEuropeUnited StatesIranIndia