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UBS

June 8, 2026

Can Gold Reach New Highs

Market ReportCommoditiesOther

UBS expects gold to rebound to USD 5,500/oz by year-end 2026, viewing current price weakness as a temporary result of US dollar strength and interest rate fears.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Gold prices are expected to rise to USD 5,500/oz by the end of 2026 due to robust demand and future Fed rate cuts.
  • 2.Recent price weakness is attributed to US dollar strength, high energy prices, and geopolitical tensions.

Table of Contents

  • Can gold reach new highs?
  • Key message
  • 01 Gold remains well below its January highs.
  • 02 But we remain confident that gold prices will move higher.
  • 03 We expect gold prices to reach USD 5,500/oz by year-end.
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Authors

Giovanni StaunovoDominic SchniderJon GordonMatthew Carter

Securities

XAU

Themes

Central Bank Reserve DiversificationUS Fiscal Deficits

Regions

Middle EastUnited States