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May 18, 2026

Bonds Offer Attractive Risk Return Despite Near Term Volatility

Daily UpdateRates Govt BondsEquitiesCommoditiesIndustrials

Global bond yields have surged to multi-year highs due to inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, yet UBS maintains that quality bonds offer an appealing risk-return profile. Despite the volatility, the report remains positive on global equities, citing resilient growth and the capacity of markets to absorb new bond supply.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Quality bonds offer an attractive risk-return profile despite current yield volatility and record highs in global government bond yields.
  • 2.Rising yields are unlikely to derail the ongoing equity rally as long as economic growth remains resilient.
  • 3.Geopolitical tensions, particularly the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, are driving upside risks to inflation and volatility.

Table of Contents

  • From the studio
  • Thought of the day
  • What to watch: 19 May
  • Caught our attention
  • Market update
  • Appendix

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Authors

Ulrike Hoffmann-BurchardiMark HaefeleLeslie Falconio

Securities

S&P 500US 10-Year TreasuryNikkei 225Brent Crude

Themes

Rising Global YieldsGeopolitical Inflation RisksEuropean Defense Spending Cycle

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesJapanGermany