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UBS

May 21, 2026

AI Outlook Remains Strong Despite Market Headwinds

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXInformation TechnologyIndustrials

While rising yields and high valuations are causing short-term volatility in tech, UBS maintains a positive long-term outlook on AI fundamentals and monetization.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.NVIDIA beat revenue and earnings expectations with 92% YoY growth in data center revenue, yet shares dipped slightly due to broader macro headwinds.
  • 2.Bank Indonesia delivered a surprise 50bps rate hike to 5.25% to support the rupiah and combat inflation amid Middle Eastern conflict volatility.
  • 3.European EV demand remains strong, rising 34% YoY in April, as high oil prices (Brent at USD 109.8/bbl) drive structural electrification.

Table of Contents

  • From Circle One
  • Thought of the day
  • What to watch: 21 May
  • Caught our attention
  • Indonesia's central bank delivers larger-than-expected rate rise.
  • European EV demand accelerates.
  • Market update
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix
  • Risk Information

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Authors

Min Lan TanMark HaefeleDaisy Tseng

Securities

NVDAAnthropicGOOGLSPXBrent Crude

Themes

AI Resilience vs. Macro VolatilityMonetary Policy in Emerging MarketsStructural Electrification

Regions

Asia PacificEuropeNorth AmericaIndonesiaUnited StatesGermany