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The Market Ear

May 26, 2026

Double the Software Trouble

Sector ReportEquitiesInformation Technology

The software sector is showing signs of a major tactical squeeze potential as extreme bearish sentiment and positioning meet a bullish technical 21/100-day crossover.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The software sector is primed for a significant tactical squeeze following a bullish technical crossover and potential breakout above the $94/$95 IGV level.
  • 2.Market sentiment and positioning in software are at historic lows, with shorts at the 100th percentile and mutual fund exposure at 13-year lows.
  • 3.Software valuations are currently trading significantly below their 5-year averages on both a trailing and growth-adjusted basis.

Table of Contents

  • Double the software trouble
  • Multiples below the 2021 extreme
  • On a growth-adjusted basis
  • Largest underweight in 13 years
  • Shorts 100th percentile
  • No PE activity
  • Software PE deals decline sharply

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