Managing Allocations in Volatile Markets

Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesOther

This report outlines eight key lessons for managing investment portfolios during volatile markets, emphasizing the importance of timeframe, diversification, and disciplined strategies.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Investment time horizons significantly impact risk; the probability of negative returns drops from 39% in the short term to 7% over 10 years.
  • 2.Timing the market is generally a losing strategy; global equities had positive annual returns in 28 of the last 38 years despite intra-year volatility.
  • 3.Diversification provides the 'staying power' needed to absorb emotional stress during market downturns and provides superior risk-adjusted returns.

Table of Contents

  • Lesson #1: Remember that investment timeframe matters, and bear markets tend to be sharp but short-lived
  • Lesson #2: Keep in mind that staying invested through volatile times proves beneficial in achieving long-term investment goals
  • Lesson #3: Diversification is paramount during tough times
  • Lesson #4: Understand that de-risking when market uncertainty is elevated comes with a cost and you should not compromise your diversification
  • Lesson #5: A diversified allocation for the long and winding road ahead
  • Lesson #6: Long-volatility strategies can help hedge risk exposure
  • Lesson #7: Use volatility targeting to stabilise portfolio risk levels
  • Lesson #8: Keep your emotions and biases under check

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Authors

Steve BriceManpreet Gill

Securities

MSCI All Country World IndexVIXSPX

Themes

Market Timing vs. Time in the MarketBehavioral Finance and Emotional BiasSystematic and Rule-Based Risk Management

Regions

Global