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During the week ending May 15, 2026, gold equities (GDX) experienced significant downward pressure, declining by 7.7%. This underperformance was primarily driven by a sharp escalation in US Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield climbing 24 basis points to reach 4.59%. The increase in real rates was particularly impactful for the sector, as TIPS yields rose by 18 basis points over the same period. Consequently, the underlying precious metals saw notable corrections, with gold and silver falling 3.7% and 5.4% respectively. The pronounced drop in GDX highlights the sector's heightened sensitivity and downside beta to yield movements compared to the physical commodities. Notably, this bearish trend in gold mining occurred despite a 10.5% surge in WTI crude oil prices, which surpassed $105 per barrel. This divergence underscores the current dominance of fixed-income headwinds and real yield volatility over broader commodity market strength in determining GDX performance.
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