Scotiabank
June 4, 2026
Daily Points
Daily UpdateRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEquitiesEnergyConsumer Discretionary
Global bond yields are rising as WTI crude prices surge and BoJ Governor Ueda hints at a possible June rate hike. Markets are also preparing for US Nonfarm payrolls data, which Scotiabank expects to show a moderate 125k gain.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Rising oil prices and hawkish signals from BoJ Governor Ueda are driving global bond yields higher.
- 2.The recent jump in US JOLTS job openings is viewed as weak due to extreme concentration in professional services rather than broad market strength.
- 3.Scotiabank expects a 125k gain in US Nonfarm payrolls for May, noting that the 'birth-death' model will be a significant and potentially noisy driver.
Table of Contents
- KEY POINTS
- US PRE-NONFARM DATA DUMP
- CANADA-US-MEXICO TRADE NEGOTIATIONS—POT CALLING THE KETTLE BLACK
- AUSSIE RATES SHAKE OFF GDP
- CANADIAN PRODUCTIVITY
- CANADIAN VEHICLE SALES CONTINUE TO DECLINE
- NONFARM PREVIEW
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Authors
Derek Holt
Securities
WTISPXNKY
Themes
Monetary Policy DivergenceData Noise and InterpretationEnergy-Led Inflation Risks
Regions
North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesCanadaJapan
