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Scotiabank

May 19, 2026

Daily Points

Daily UpdateCommoditiesRates Govt BondsEquitiesEnergyFinancials

Global markets are reacting to sustained higher oil prices due to Iran tensions, which are pushing bond yields higher. Meanwhile, investors are bracing for Canadian CPI data and weighing mixed labor market signals from the UK.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Persistent geopolitical tensions in Iran are sustaining a commodity shock that is driving bond yields higher globally.
  • 2.UK payroll data showed a record drop of 100k in April, but the data is likely distorted by tax season volatility and upward revisions are expected.
  • 3.Japan's Q1 GDP outperformed expectations at 2.1% q/q SAAR, though the result was flattered by a downward revision to the previous quarter.

Table of Contents

  • KEY POINTS
  • CANADIAN INFLATION—LOOK BENEATH THE HEADLINE
  • UK LABOUR MARKET—MIXED REVIEWS
  • JAPAN'S ECONOMY OUTPERFORMED

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Authors

Derek Holt

Securities

WTI CrudeS&P/TSXNasdaq10-year Gilt

Themes

Geopolitical Commodity ShockBond Yield ReflationData Quality and Economic Noise

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKCanadaUnited StatesUnited Kingdom