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Scotiabank

February 11, 2026

Daily Points

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Scotiabank reports cautious market sentiment as investors await delayed US January payroll data, noting that trade policy uncertainty is severely dampening hiring.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Markets are exhibiting cautious behavior ahead of the delayed US January nonfarm payrolls report.
  • 2.Policy uncertainty and tariffs are identified as the primary drivers suppressing US job growth since April 2025.
  • 3.Rumors regarding a potential US withdrawal from USMCA are viewed as a tactical negotiating ploy rather than a credible threat.

Table of Contents

  • Contributors
  • On Deck for Wednesday, February 11th
  • KEY POINTS:
  • PAYROLLS—EXPECTATIONS AND POLICY DRIVERS
  • OTHER DEVELOPMENTS

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Authors

Derek Holt

Securities

SPXCLXAUS&P/TSX

Themes

Policy UncertaintyTrade Protectionism

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesCanadaChina