Scotiabank
May 10, 2026
Canadian Jobs Ontario vs Quebec and the Weather
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrials
Canada lost 18k jobs in April as a sharp decline in Quebec neutralized growth in Ontario, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.9%. The report argues that this rise should be ignored ('faded') due to statistical artifacts and weather-related disruptions.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Canada lost 17.7k jobs in April, primarily due to a significant decline in Quebec's job market which offset gains in Ontario.
- 2.The unemployment rate increase to 6.9% is likely a statistical outlier caused by lags in population reporting and immigration policy changes.
- 3.Adverse weather and illness significantly impacted hours worked and sectors like leisure and construction during April.
Table of Contents
- Canadian Jobs—Ontario vs. Quebec and the Weather
- Quebec Vs Ontario
- Sectors and Weather
- Fade the UR's Rise
- Immigration Policy's Effects
- Wage Growth Ebbed After Two Explosive Months
- Hours Worked Not Great for GDP
- What Does it Mean for the BoC?
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Authors
Derek Holt
Themes
Impact of Immigration Policy on Labor StatisticsRegional Divergence in Canadian Economy
Regions
North AmericaCanada
