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Scotiabank

May 10, 2026

Canadian Jobs Ontario vs Quebec and the Weather

Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrials

Canada lost 18k jobs in April as a sharp decline in Quebec neutralized growth in Ontario, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.9%. The report argues that this rise should be ignored ('faded') due to statistical artifacts and weather-related disruptions.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Canada lost 17.7k jobs in April, primarily due to a significant decline in Quebec's job market which offset gains in Ontario.
  • 2.The unemployment rate increase to 6.9% is likely a statistical outlier caused by lags in population reporting and immigration policy changes.
  • 3.Adverse weather and illness significantly impacted hours worked and sectors like leisure and construction during April.

Table of Contents

  • Canadian Jobs—Ontario vs. Quebec and the Weather
  • Quebec Vs Ontario
  • Sectors and Weather
  • Fade the UR's Rise
  • Immigration Policy's Effects
  • Wage Growth Ebbed After Two Explosive Months
  • Hours Worked Not Great for GDP
  • What Does it Mean for the BoC?

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