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Scotiabank

June 4, 2026

Canada's Defence Scale-Up Challenge in NATO

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

Canada faces a significant challenge in scaling defense spending to meet new NATO benchmarks while maintaining fiscal stability. The report argues for a strategy that prioritizes domestic industrial capacity and long-term economic resilience over simple procurement.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Canada must ramp up defense spending to meet evolving NATO targets while balancing domestic fiscal constraints.
  • 2.The definition of defense spending is expanding to include energy security, critical minerals, and strategic infrastructure.
  • 3.Successful defense scaling requires prioritizing domestic capacity building over import-heavy procurement to avoid inflation and fiscal strain.

Table of Contents

  • Meeting the Moment
  • From Catch-Up to Scale-Up
  • Turning Defence Spending into Domestic Capacity
  • Start Small, Think Big
  • Beyond the 5% Benchmark
  • Move Fast, Spend Well, Think Broad

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