Scotiabank
February 13, 2026
BCRP Holds Rates Once Again
Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther
The Central Reserve Bank of Peru held its policy rate at 4.25% in February, consistent with market expectations. Scotiabank maintains a terminal rate forecast of 4.00%, expecting the next 25 bps cut in March or Q2 2026.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) maintained its policy interest rate at 4.25% for the fifth consecutive month.
- 2.Annual headline inflation is expected to converge to the midpoint of the 1%–3% target range soon.
- 3.The real interest rate (2.22%) has risen above the neutral rate (2.0%), potentially justifying an additional 25 bps rate cut in the near future.
Table of Contents
- Contributors
- Latam Daily: BCRP Holds Rates Once Again
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Authors
Ricardo AvilaJuan Manuel HerreraJorge SelaiveEduardo Suárez
Securities
BCRP Policy Rate
Themes
Inflation ConvergenceMonetary Policy Neutrality
Regions
Latin AmericaPeruMexicoChile
