Scotiabank Economics
May 13, 2026
US Core Services Inflation Lit Up in April
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsConsumer StaplesEnergy
US core CPI for April came in hot at 0.4% m/m, driven by an 'explosive' 5.5% SAAR increase in core services excluding shelter. While shelter costs rose due to statistical factors, the broad-based heat in services inflation remains a major concern for markets and the Fed.
Key Takeaways
- 1.April Core CPI inflation rose by 0.4% m/m, exceeding the consensus estimate of 0.3%.
- 2.Core services inflation (excluding energy and shelter) accelerated significantly, reaching a 5.5% SAAR.
- 3.Shelter inflation's 0.6% surge is categorized as a temporary statistical catch-up from a prior government shutdown and is expected to soften.
Table of Contents
- Contributors
- US Core Services Inflation Lit Up in April
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Authors
Derek Holt
Securities
US 2-Year Treasury Yield
Themes
Sticky Core Services InflationFed Policy HawkishnessPolitical Impact on Prices (Tariffs)
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
