European Rates and Economics Daily

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RBC provides a daily update on European rates, noting a surprise downside in UK CPI to 2.8% and a strong Japanese 20-year bond auction. The report also highlights upcoming Euro area inflation data and BoE testimonies.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.UK CPI inflation for April surprised to the downside at 2.8% y/y, coming in below the consensus of 3.0%.
  • 2.Japan's 20-year JGB auction was exceptionally strong with a 4.01x bid-to-cover, providing relief to global bond markets despite yields hitting a 30-year high.
  • 3.UK Chancellor Reeves is exploring voluntary food price freezes at major supermarkets in exchange for regulatory relief.

Table of Contents

  • Overnight news
  • Data and events
  • Exhibit A: RBC growth and inflation forecasts
  • Exhibit B: RBC yield forecasts
  • RBC RV Quadrant
  • Sales Literature and Market Commentary Disclaimer
  • Disclaimer for Central Bank A.I. Sight™
  • Disclaimer for OTC Derivatives
  • Sales Note Disclosures Under the Market Abuse Regime

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Authors

Peter SchaffrikCathal KennedyMegum MuhicGeorge Moran

Securities

20-year JGBBrent CrudeDigital Gilt10-year Treasury

Themes

Downside Inflation SurprisesFiscal/Regulatory Intervention in PricesGlobal Bond Market Resilience

Regions

EuropeNorth AmericaAsia PacificUnited KingdomJapanUnited States