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Report published June 29, 2026

Up And Adam: Market Outlook and Sector Rotation Analysis (June 29, 2026)

Raymond James · June 29, 2026

This report analyzes the recent S&P 500 decline, attributing it to sector rotation rather than a bearish trend, while noting increased defense spending and persistent crypto volatility.

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Finvaulta summarizes Raymond James's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Despite a five-day losing streak for the S&P 500, historical data suggests positive performance in the subsequent three months, with the current weakness attributed to healthy sector rotation.
  • 2.Broadening market gains toward value-centric sectors is ongoing, with Health Care and Industrials leading as growth sectors face a June correction.
  • 3.European defense spending is projected to grow to 3.5% of GDP by 2035 due to regional security concerns, supporting a favorable outlook for the Industrials sector.

Table of Contents

  • Previous Close
  • Futures
  • Today's Events
  • A Full Slate Of Data Awaits in a Holiday-Shortened Week
  • S&P 500 Declines For Five Consecutive Trading Days—What Does History Suggest About The Path Ahead?
  • Amid June's Sector Rotation, Value Is Outpacing Growth
  • NATO's Eastern Flank Prepares For A Threat From Russia—A Reminder Of Why Defense Spending Is Vital
  • As Cryptocurrency Selloff Continues, It's A Case Study Of How Volatile Sentiment Can Be
  • Sector Performance
  • Chart of the Day: (Bit)Coin Tossed

Report data

Sector Performance

MetricEstimateContext
S&P 500 MTD Performance-3.0%Monthly-to-date performance
Bitcoin YTD Performance-32%Year-to-date performance
Source: FactSet. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Up And Adam is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on June 29, 2026.

Part of the Up And Adam series — view all 19 editions

Looking for the latest edition? Up and Adam (Jul 23, 2026)

  1. Jun 8Up and Adam
  2. Jun 9Up and Adam
  3. Jun 16Up and Adam
  4. Jun 22Up and Adam

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