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Raymond James

May 28, 2026

Up and Adam

Daily UpdateEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsInformation TechnologyConsumer Discretionary

Raymond James analyzes key indicators including 1Q26 GDP revisions, mixed retail earnings, and China's tech-led industrial surge. The report highlights seasonal strength in municipal bonds and sticky gasoline prices despite falling crude oil.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The second estimate of 1Q26 GDP is expected to hold at 2.0%, but revisions regarding consumer spending and defense outlays will be critical for assessing 2Q growth acceleration.
  • 2.China's industrial profitability surged 24.7% in April, driven largely by the technology and electronics sectors, reinforcing a preference for EM Asia equities.
  • 3.Municipal bonds are entering a seasonally strong period with reinvestment flows expected to peak in June at approximately $51 billion.

Table of Contents

  • 1Q26 GDP Second Estimate At 8:30 AM ET: Focus On Potential Revisions
  • Another Busy Week Of Retailer Earnings Paints A Mixed Picture Of Consumer Spending
  • Tech Strength Propels Expansion In China's Industrial Profitability
  • Munis Hold Ground At The Start Of A Seasonally Strong Period
  • With Summer Travel Season Underway, When Can Drivers Expect Relief At The Pump?
  • Disclosures

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Authors

Larry Adam

Securities

S&P 500WTI CrudeDick's Sporting GoodsAbercrombie & Fitch

Themes

Consumer Resilience vs. Cost PressuresTechnological Growth in Emerging MarketsFixed Income Seasonality

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificMiddle EastUnited StatesChinaIran