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Raymond James

May 25, 2026

Up and Adam

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXInformation TechnologyReal Estate

The US economy is showing resilient growth compared to international peers, but faces internal challenges from rising mortgage rates and a leadership transition at the Federal Reserve.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US economy is currently outpacing developed peers like Japan and Germany in PMI growth, though internal concerns such as contracting employment and rising input costs are emerging.
  • 2.Kevin Warsh begins his tenure as Fed Chair facing a hawkish FOMC and potential friction with the White House over interest rate policy.
  • 3.Historical data shows that the S&P 500 typically performs worse during the summer months of midterm election years compared to non-midterm years.

Table of Contents

  • Previous Close
  • Future
  • Cross-Border Comparison Of PMI Data Highlights US Economy’s Faster Growth vs. Developed Peers
  • As Warsh Is Sworn In Today, He May Face An Early Test Of Fed Independence
  • Happy Memorial Day Weekend! What Does History Suggest About Summertime Market Performance?
  • US Government Takes Equity Stakes In Quantum Computing Firms
  • Mortgage Rates At Nine-Month Highs Could Jeopardize The Fledgling Recovery In Housing

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Authors

Larry Adam

Securities

SPXINTCMPIBMInflectionDiraq

Themes

Federal Reserve IndependenceUS Industrial PolicyHousing Market Headwinds

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesJapanGermany