Raymond James
May 11, 2026
Up and Adam
Weekly UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyConsumer Discretionary
The S&P 500 enters its sixth week of gains amidst a Fed leadership transition and record-low consumer sentiment. Raymond James maintains a preference for US equities over European counterparts due to superior earnings fundamentals.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The S&P 500's six-week winning streak is historically a bullish indicator, with an average 12-month forward return of 12.2%.
- 2.US corporate earnings growth (27%) significantly outperforms European earnings (1% decline ex-energy), supporting a preference for US equities.
- 3.Consumer sentiment has reached an all-time low as inflation and high gasoline prices outweigh positive labor market data.
Table of Contents
- Previous Close
- Future
- In Powell's Final Week As Fed Chair, His Successor Is Poised For Confirmation
- Michigan Sentiment Sets A Fresh All-Time Low—A Reminder That Inflation Is A More Pressing Issue
- After A Busy Week Of Redistricting Headlines, What's Still Unresolved?
- Headline Growth In European Earnings Masks Weakness Under The Surface
- After Six Straight Weeks of Gains For The S&P 500, What Does History Suggest About The Path Ahead?
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Authors
Larry Adam
Securities
SPXNDXSXXP10-year Treasury yield
Themes
Monetary Policy TransitionEarnings DivergencePolitical Redistricting
Regions
North AmericaEuropeUnited StatesUnited Kingdom
