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Raymond James

May 11, 2026

Up and Adam

Weekly UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyConsumer Discretionary

The S&P 500 enters its sixth week of gains amidst a Fed leadership transition and record-low consumer sentiment. Raymond James maintains a preference for US equities over European counterparts due to superior earnings fundamentals.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The S&P 500's six-week winning streak is historically a bullish indicator, with an average 12-month forward return of 12.2%.
  • 2.US corporate earnings growth (27%) significantly outperforms European earnings (1% decline ex-energy), supporting a preference for US equities.
  • 3.Consumer sentiment has reached an all-time low as inflation and high gasoline prices outweigh positive labor market data.

Table of Contents

  • Previous Close
  • Future
  • In Powell's Final Week As Fed Chair, His Successor Is Poised For Confirmation
  • Michigan Sentiment Sets A Fresh All-Time Low—A Reminder That Inflation Is A More Pressing Issue
  • After A Busy Week Of Redistricting Headlines, What's Still Unresolved?
  • Headline Growth In European Earnings Masks Weakness Under The Surface
  • After Six Straight Weeks of Gains For The S&P 500, What Does History Suggest About The Path Ahead?

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Authors

Larry Adam

Securities

SPXNDXSXXP10-year Treasury yield

Themes

Monetary Policy TransitionEarnings DivergencePolitical Redistricting

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUnited StatesUnited Kingdom