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Report published June 2, 2026

Fixed Income Weekly Primer: Treasury Rally Amid Persistent Inflation (June 2026)

Raymond James · June 2, 2026

Raymond James reports that Treasury yields fell last week on geopolitical optimism, despite Core PCE inflation rising to a higher-than-expected 3.8%. The market focus shifts to upcoming labor data to determine if the Fed will prioritize price stability over economic growth.

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Finvaulta summarizes Raymond James's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Treasury prices rose and yields fell significantly last week, with the 10-year yield dropping 12 basis points to 4.44%.
  • 2.Inflation remains high and sticky, with Core PCE rising to 3.8%, exceeding both the prior month and expectations.
  • 3.Fed focus may shift toward price stability and potential rate increases if upcoming job market data remains strong.

Table of Contents

  • Fixed Income Weekly Primer
  • Fixed Income Solutions

Report data

Fixed Income and Equity Market Yields/Prices

MetricEstimateContext
Core PCE (YoY)3.8%Fed's favored measure for inflation
10-year Treasury Yield4.44%Benchmarking yield curve movement
S&P 500 Index Value7580.06 index pointsWeekly equity appreciation
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (via text context); Bloomberg LP. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Fixed Income Weekly Primer is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on June 2, 2026.

Part of the Fixed Income Weekly Primer series — view all 11 editions

Looking for the latest edition? tfi weekly primer (Oct 5, 2026)

  1. May 13tfi weekly primer
  2. May 19tfi weekly primer

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