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Report published May 13, 2026

Fixed Income Weekly Primer: Raymond James Market Analysis (May 13, 2026)

Raymond James · May 13, 2026

Fixed income yields remained relatively stable over the past week despite strong labor data and volatility. Markets are now focused on upcoming April inflation data, where energy disruptions are expected to drive a wedge between headline and core readings.

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Finvaulta summarizes Raymond James's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Yields ended the week largely unchanged despite mid-week volatility, with the 5-year Treasury finishing at 4.02%.
  • 2.April Nonfarm Payrolls significantly exceeded expectations at 115,000 versus the 65,000 forecast.
  • 3.Energy market disruptions from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz are causing a notable divergence between headline and core inflation expectations.

Table of Contents

  • Fixed Income Weekly Primer

Report data

Market Yield Table

MetricEstimateContext
Nonfarm Payrolls115,000 jobs65,000 was expected
Unemployment Rate4.3%Labor market stability
Expected CPI YoY3.7%Market consensus forecast
Expected Core CPI YoY2.7%Excludes energy and food
Source: Bloomberg surveys. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Fixed Income Weekly Primer is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on May 13, 2026.

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