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Rabobank

May 21, 2026

Striking

Daily UpdateEquitiesCommoditiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyIndustrials

President Trump's decision to delay a Middle East military strike has met with market fatigue as negotiations over Iran's nuclear program remain unresolved. Meanwhile, tensions escalate in the Caribbean as the US sanctions Cuba over drone acquisition reports.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.President Trump delayed a planned military strike in the Middle East following requests from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE due to ongoing negotiations.
  • 2.Energy market supply is stabilizing in Europe as jet fuel production increases, though global stockpiles are depleting fast elsewhere.
  • 3.Geopolitical tensions are rising between the US and Cuba over reports of drones capable of striking US bases, leading to new sanctions.

Table of Contents

  • Market comment
  • Day ahead
  • FX Strategy
  • Fixed Income Strategy
  • Agri Commodity Markets
  • Energy Markets
  • Client coverage
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Bas van Geffen

Securities

SPXOilRussian CrudeJet Fuel

Themes

Geopolitical StalemateEnergy Security and Supply ChainsUS National Security Expansionism

Regions

North AmericaMiddle EastEuropeUnited StatesIranCuba