Rabobank
June 3, 2026
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Rabobank analyzes the ongoing US-Iran conflict and Strait blockade alongside Canada's entry into a technical recession. The report also highlights a new US executive order on AI innovation and safety.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The conflict between the US and Iran over military/nuclear facilities and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is unlikely to be resolved imminently, despite political rhetoric.
- 2.Canada has entered a technical recession following a 0.1% GDP contraction in Q1 2026, marking two consecutive quarters of decline.
- 3.The Trump administration has issued an executive order on AI designed to reduce bureaucratic constraints while establishing a voluntary framework for model safety reviews.
Table of Contents
- Market comment
- Day ahead
- Global Head
- Macro Strategy
- FX Strategy
- Fixed Income Strategy
- Agri Commodity Markets
- Energy Markets
- Client coverage
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Molly Schwartz
Securities
Mythos
Themes
Geopolitical EscalationAI Regulation vs InnovationTechnical Recession
Regions
North AmericaMiddle EastEuropeUnited StatesIranCanada
