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Rabobank

February 3, 2026

Going Nuclear

Daily UpdateCommoditiesCryptoFXFinancialsInformation Technology

Rabobank's report highlights the potential for structural changes at the Federal Reserve under Kevin Warsh's nomination and the emergence of a US-EU partnership in critical minerals.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Kevin Warsh's nomination for Fed Chair suggests structural reforms to the Federal Reserve that prioritize growth and AI integration over simple rate-cut logic.
  • 2.The US and EU are exploring a critical minerals partnership to reduce supply chain dependence on China.
  • 3.Diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran are proceeding despite regional tensions and attempts by Iran to limit the scope of talks to nuclear capabilities.

Table of Contents

  • Market comments
  • Day ahead
  • Macro Strategy
  • FX Strategy
  • Credit Strategy & Regulation
  • Agri Commodity Markets
  • Energy Markets
  • Client coverage
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Molly Schwartz

Securities

US 10 Year TreasuryXAUDXYBTCUS 2 Year Treasury

Themes

Central Bank Structural ReformGeopolitical De-escalationResource Nationalism & Supply Chain Security

Regions

North AmericaEuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesIranChina