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Report published June 1, 2026

Global Daily: Rabobank Market Analysis - June 1, 2026

Rabobank · June 1, 2026

Markets are recalibrating for a long-term closure of the Strait of Hormuz and escalating tensions in Ukraine as Iranian internal political stability fractures.

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Finvaulta summarizes Rabobank's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Strait of Hormuz is expected to remain closed through September as negotiations over Iran's nuclear program reach an impasse.
  • 2.Iranian President Pezeshkian's resignation suggests significant internal conflict between the civilian government and hardline IRGC factions.
  • 3.The Ukraine war risks escalating further into Europe following a Russian drone strike in NATO member Romania.

Table of Contents

  • Market comment
  • Week ahead
  • Global Economics & Markets
  • FX Strategy
  • Fixed Income Strategy
  • Agri Commodity Markets
  • Energy Markets
  • Client coverage

Report data

Key figures extracted from this report

MetricEstimateContext
Brent Crude Monthly Performance20%Ending May down almost 20% due to peace rumors.
Gold Support Level4,500 USD/ozMarket respecting this support level despite central bank liquidations.
Japan Q1 Company Profits14.6%Handily exceeding expectations of a 5.3% rise.
US Non-farm Payrolls Forecast89,000 jobsPredicted employment growth.

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