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Nordea

June 11, 2026

ECB Watch: Lively Liftoff

Macro ThematicRates CreditEnergy

The ECB has initiated a rate hiking cycle with a 25bp increase, signaling further tightening due to persistent inflation forecasts. Nordea expects a total of four hikes, bringing the deposit rate to 3% by October.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The ECB raised interest rates by 25bp and intends to hike further to combat persistent above-target inflation.
  • 2.Nordea forecasts a total of four rate hikes, with the deposit rate reaching 3% by the October meeting.
  • 3.ECB inflation forecasts were revised upward for 2026 and 2027, signaling persistent price pressures.

Table of Contents

  • ECB Watch: Lively liftoff
  • Projections support further rate hikes
  • The ECB now sees inflation clearly above the target in 2026 and 2027
  • DISCLAIMER

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