Middle East Weekly Tracker

Weekly UpdateCommoditiesRates CreditEquitiesEnergyFinancials

US policy has shifted toward economic sanctions and financial isolation of Iran to avoid a full-scale war, though regional market stress remains high due to maritime disruptions and drone strikes.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US is pivoting toward economic leverage and tougher sanctions to isolate Iran financially while avoiding direct military conflict.
  • 2.Regional financial stress has increased following a drone strike near the UAE's Barakah nuclear plant, impacting Brent crude and CDS spreads.
  • 3.Capital flight is being observed in major regional markets, with USD 221 million in foreign outflows from Dubai and Saudi stock exchanges.

Table of Contents

  • Conflict update
  • Oil and gas
  • CDS
  • Stock/other Markets
  • Investment flow
  • Real economy
  • Market Movement
  • Crude Oil Spot and Futures Market Price
  • Capital Market Investment Flow
  • Transportation
  • Natixis CIB Research
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Alicia Garcia HerreroJeremy Ji

Securities

Brent CrudeOman Benchmark IndexDubai Financial MarketSaudi Exchange (Tadawul)

Themes

Economic Sanctions and LeverageGeopolitical Risk in Energy Corridors

Regions

Middle EastIranUnited Arab EmiratesSaudi Arabia