Natixis Corporate and Investment Banking
May 13, 2026
Middle East Weekly Tracker
Weekly UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesRates Govt BondsEnergyFinancials
The failure of US-Iran negotiations and a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed Brent oil prices to $105/bbl, leading to capital outflows from GCC markets.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Brent crude prices jumped 4% to approximately $105/bbl following the rejection of the US-Iran deal.
- 2.Shipping activity in the Strait of Hormuz has collapsed to nearly zero due to the US blockade and cessation of Project Liberty.
- 3.GCC stock markets are in a consolidation phase as foreign investors withdrew USD 406mn from Dubai and Saudi markets.
Table of Contents
- Conflict update:
- Oil and gas:
- CDS:
- Stock/other Markets:
- Investment flow:
- Real economy:
- Market Movement
- Policy Rate and CPI
- Stock and Bond Market
- T-Spread and CDS
- Crude Oil Spot and Futures Market Price
- Capital Market Investment Flow
- By Ownership and By Market
- Transportation
- Maritime
- Airline
- Natixis CIB Research
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Authors
Alicia Garcia HerreroJeremy Ji
Securities
Brent CrudeDubai stock marketSaudi stock market
Themes
Geopolitical Supply ShockEmerging Market Capital Flight
Regions
Middle EastIranUnited StatesSaudi Arabia
