Natixis Corporate and Investment Banking
May 21, 2026
Euro Area May Flash PMIs: Germany Holds Up, France Disappoints
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsIndustrialsOther
The May Flash PMIs show a deepening contraction in the Euro Area, driven by a sharp decline in France and persistent weakness in Germany, leading to negative Q2 GDP growth forecasts.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The Euro Area composite PMI fell for the third consecutive month to 47.5 in May, missing expectations and indicating continued contraction.
- 2.France's private sector suffered a severe contraction, with its composite PMI dropping to 43.5, far below consensus.
- 3.Natixis expects Euro Area and French GDP to contract by 0.3% Q/Q in Q2, as firms face rising input prices they cannot fully pass on.
Table of Contents
- EMEA MACRO SNAPSHOT
- Euro area May Flash PMIs: Germany holds up, France disappoints
- Germany
- France
- Head of CIB Research
- Head of Macro & Financial Institutions Research
- Head of Europe Macro research
Document Preview
Access the Full Report
Get unlimited access to institutional research reports with a 14-day free trial.
Authors
Bastien AilletHadrien CamatteJesus Castillo
Securities
ECB Key Interest Rates
Themes
Stagflation RisksMonetary Policy Tightening
Regions
EuropeGermanyFrance
