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ECB January Meeting Inflation and Policy Review

Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFinancials

The ECB kept interest rates unchanged at its January meeting, with President Lagarde characterizing inflation as being 'in a good place' while maintaining a data-dependent stance. Natixis expects no further policy changes for the remainder of 2026.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The ECB Governing Council kept all three key interest rates unchanged (Deposit facility: 2.00%, MRO: 2.15%, MLF: 2.40%) in a unanimous decision.
  • 2.The ECB views the Eurozone economy as resilient, supported by low unemployment and public spending, despite global trade policy uncertainties.
  • 3.President Lagarde indicated headline inflation is 'in a good place', though the bank maintains a data-dependent approach without pre-commitment to a rate path.

Table of Contents

  • EMEA MACRO SNAPSHOT
  • ECB January Meeting: No Change as Inflation is "in a Good Place"
  • Natixis CIB Research
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Alain Durre, PhD

Securities

ECB Deposit Facility RateECB Main Refinancing Operations RateECB Marginal Lending Facility Rate

Themes

Economic Resilience vs Geopolitical RiskMonetary Policy Inertia

Regions

Europe