Natixis Corporate and Investment Banking
May 10, 2026
April Employment Recap: Hanging In There, But Not Thriving
Monthly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther
April nonfarm payrolls beat expectations at 115k, but a rising unemployment rate to 4.34% and muted wage growth suggest the labor market is cooling despite headline resilience.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 115k in April, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of 65k.
- 2.The unemployment rate increased to 4.34% and wage growth remains muted, indicating a lack of inflationary pressure from the labor market.
- 3.Productivity growth remains strong at 2.9% for Q1, which along with lower unit labor costs, suggests reduced forward-looking inflationary pressure.
Table of Contents
- US Macro Snapshot
- April Employment Recap: Hanging in there, but not thriving
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Christopher HodgeSelin Aker
Themes
Labor Market Resilience vs. SofteningFed Policy Easing BiasProductivity-Led Disinflation
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
