2026 Mid-term Preview: Mapping the Battlegrounds

This report previews the 2026 US Mid-term elections, highlighting a likely shift to a divided Congress as economic concerns and historical trends favor Democrats in the House while Republicans appear set to hold the Senate.

Key Takeaways

• 1.The 2026 US Mid-term elections are likely to result in a divided Congress, with Democrats favored to take the House and Republicans expected to maintain the Senate.
• 2.Historical trends strongly disadvantage the president's party; since 1946, they have lost an average of 25 seats in the House during mid-terms.
• 3.Economic dissatisfaction is a major headwind for the current administration, with President Trump's handling of the economy at -16 points approval.

Table of Contents

• Setting the Table – The Current Political Landscape
• Disclaimer

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