The USD continues to benefit from a hawkish Fed shift, yet MUFG expects limited further upside as global yields face downward pressure. Meanwhile, the SNB maintained its policy rate at 0% while noting potential for currency intervention.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The US dollar has advanced following a hawkish shift in the Fed's dot plot, though the scope for further appreciation remains limited.
- 2.The SNB left rates at 0% and communicated no urgency regarding inflation risks, while highlighting a willingness to intervene if necessary.
- 3.Energy disinflation remains a key theme, with crude oil prices down significantly and expectations of a 'significant overhang' in global crude balances in 2027.
Table of Contents
- Scope of US dollar appreciation has limits
- USD: MoU doubts sees oil rebound
- CHF REER REMAINS ELEVATED WITH SNB YESTERDAY REPEATING ITS WILLINGNESS TO INTERVENE
- CHF: Limited scope for franc depreciation
- KEY RELEASES AND EVENTS
- CERTIFICATION
- LEGAL ENTITIES AND BRANCHES
- GENERAL DISCLAIMERS
- COUNTRY AND REGION SPECIFIC DISCLAIMERS
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Authors
Derek Halpenny
Securities
DXYBrent Crude
Themes
Fed HawkishnessEnergy DisinflationSNB Monetary Policy
Regions
GlobalEuropeUKUnited StatesSwitzerlandChina
