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MUFG

July 10, 2026

Asia FX Talk

Weekly UpdateEquitiesFXRates Govt BondsEnergyInformation Technology

This report highlights a bearish outlook for the Indonesian rupiah amid external geopolitical and yield-driven pressures. Meanwhile, it maintains a neutral stance on Malaysian monetary policy and notes strong AI-led export growth in Taiwan.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The balance of risks remains tilted toward further Indonesian rupiah weakness due to external pressures like Middle East geopolitical tensions and high US yields.
  • 2.Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is expected to keep the Overnight Policy Rate on hold at 2.75% for the rest of 2026.
  • 3.Taiwan's exports show strong momentum driven by AI demand, though the Taiwan dollar remains weak.

Table of Contents

  • Market Highlights
  • Ahead Today
  • INDICATIVE RATES 9-Jul-2026
  • FOREIGN EXCHANGE
  • OTHER INDICATORS
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Lloyd Chan

Securities

USDIDR

Themes

AI-led Semiconductor DemandEmerging Market Status RiskGeopolitical Tensions

Regions

Asia PacificMiddle EastIndonesiaMalaysiaTaiwan