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MUFG

June 15, 2026

Asia FX Talk

Weekly UpdateCommoditiesFXRates Govt BondsEnergy

The US and Iran have reached an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, triggering a decline in oil prices and an improvement in risk sentiment for Asian currencies. While details of the deal remain pending, the outlook for currencies like the KRW is improving as regional tensions ease.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US and Iran reached an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 2.Brent oil prices fell to US$84/bbl and risk assets gained following the announcement.
  • 3.MUFG forecasts USD/KRW moving to 1400 and expects the Bank of Korea to hike rates twice this year.

Table of Contents

  • Market Highlights
  • Ahead Today

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Authors

Michael Wan

Securities

USDKRWBrent Crude Oil

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalationAsia FX Recovery

Regions

Asia PacificUnited StatesIranIndia