Morgan Stanley | MUFG
June 15, 2026
Sho-Time US Trip Feedback The Era of Picks and Shovels Continues
Market ReportEquitiesIndustrialsInformation Technology
North American investors remain bullish on Japan's 'Picks & Shovels' AI infrastructure, though they are increasingly shifting their focus from broad thematic momentum to companies with verified EPS growth and strong capital efficiency.
Key Takeaways
- 1.North American investors remain constructive on Japanese industrials and the 'Picks & Shovels' AI infrastructure ecosystem.
- 2.The recent AI market correction is viewed as a positioning-driven adjustment rather than a fundamental deterioration.
- 3.Institutional investor focus is shifting from thematic enthusiasm to companies capable of delivering sustained EPS growth.
Table of Contents
- Key Takeaways
- US Trip Feedback: The Era of Picks & Shovels Continues
- AI Rally: The Recent Pullback Was a Positioning Reset, Not the Beginning of the End
- Japan-Specific Risks: Yen Interest Rates and Fiscal Policy
- Share Buybacks: Evaluation Is Shifting from Quantity to IRR
- Quant Perspective: From Price Momentum to Earnings Momentum
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Authors
Sho NakazawaUkyo Haraguchi
Securities
TPX
Themes
AI InfrastructureEarnings MomentumCapital Efficiency
Regions
North AmericaAsia PacificJapanUnited States
