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The report analyzes the volatility in global rates triggered by conflicting Iran-related geopolitical headlines and the subsequent repricing of central bank tightening paths.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global rates markets are currently volatile and highly reactive to shifting geopolitical headlines regarding Iran and the Middle East.
  • 2.The 'sell vol/own carry' playbook is under strain as risk sentiment shifts and swaps-led repricing of central bank tightening occurs.
  • 3.Markets are closely watching incoming inflation data and central bank speakers to validate aggressive hiking paths embedded in the curves.

Table of Contents

  • USD
  • EUR
  • GBP
  • JPY

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Authors

Evelyne Gomez

Securities

10Y US TreasuryGermany Schatz2037 Green Gilt10y JGBCrude Oil

Themes

Geopolitical Headline RiskCarry Trade UnwindCentral Bank Policy Repricing

Regions

North AmericaMiddle EastEuropeUnited StatesIranUnited Kingdom