Multi-Asset Strategy Daily

Daily UpdateRates Govt BondsCommoditiesFXEnergy

The report highlights that global rates are currently dictated by oil prices and Middle East headlines rather than domestic economic data. Yields remain supported by energy-driven inflation risks despite signs of softening growth in the Eurozone and the UK.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global fixed income markets are currently driven primarily by oil prices and Middle East geopolitical developments rather than domestic macro data.
  • 2.US 10Y yields are consolidating in the 4.5-4.6% range as geopolitical risk premia in oil ($90-110) limit the scope for a duration rally.
  • 3.European and UK rates are facing a tug-of-war between deteriorating domestic growth data and externally-driven energy inflation risks.

Table of Contents

  • USD
  • EUR
  • GBP
  • JPY
  • Important Information
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Evelyne Gomez

Securities

10Y US TreasuryBundsGiltsJGBCrude Oil

Themes

Geopolitical Dominance over Macro DataEnergy-Driven Inflation Persistence

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesFranceUnited Kingdom