Mizuho International
May 21, 2026
Multi-Asset Strategy Daily
Daily UpdateRates Govt BondsCommoditiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergy
A daily strategy update focusing on the market's reversal from oversold levels driven by potential US-Iran deal headlines and falling oil prices. Sovereign yields across the US, UK, and Eurozone are generally softening as inflation fears take a backseat to geopolitics.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Geopolitical headlines regarding a potential 'final stage' US-Iran deal triggered a rally in risk assets and an unwind of oversold bond positions.
- 2.European and UK government bonds are currently exhibiting high sensitivity (beta) to energy price fluctuations, with falling oil supporting the front end.
- 3.UK disinflationary signals and political uncertainty (potential Makerfield by-election) are creating a volatile environment for Gilts, though term premia remain sticky.
Table of Contents
- USD
- EUR
- GBP
- JPY
- Important Information
- Interests/ conflicts of interest relating to the strategist/analyst responsible for this publication
- Other information regarding investment recommendations
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Evelyne Gomez
Securities
US Treasury 5-yearUS Treasury 10-yearGerman Bund 10-YearUK Gilt 10-YearCrude Oil
Themes
Geopolitical PrimacyEnergy-Led Disinflation
Regions
North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesUnited KingdomFrance