Multi-Asset Strategy Daily

Daily UpdateRates Govt BondsCommoditiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergy

A daily strategy update focusing on the market's reversal from oversold levels driven by potential US-Iran deal headlines and falling oil prices. Sovereign yields across the US, UK, and Eurozone are generally softening as inflation fears take a backseat to geopolitics.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Geopolitical headlines regarding a potential 'final stage' US-Iran deal triggered a rally in risk assets and an unwind of oversold bond positions.
  • 2.European and UK government bonds are currently exhibiting high sensitivity (beta) to energy price fluctuations, with falling oil supporting the front end.
  • 3.UK disinflationary signals and political uncertainty (potential Makerfield by-election) are creating a volatile environment for Gilts, though term premia remain sticky.

Table of Contents

  • USD
  • EUR
  • GBP
  • JPY
  • Important Information
  • Interests/ conflicts of interest relating to the strategist/analyst responsible for this publication
  • Other information regarding investment recommendations
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Evelyne Gomez

Securities

US Treasury 5-yearUS Treasury 10-yearGerman Bund 10-YearUK Gilt 10-YearCrude Oil

Themes

Geopolitical PrimacyEnergy-Led Disinflation

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesUnited KingdomFrance