Multi-Asset Strategy Daily

Daily UpdateRates Govt BondsCommoditiesFXEnergy

A daily strategy update focusing on G4 rates and macro drivers, highlighting the importance of upcoming US inflation data and rising geopolitical tensions in the oil market.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Focus shifts to US CPI and PPI data this week to confirm the Fed's inflation trajectory following resilient labor data.
  • 2.Geopolitical tensions gapped Brent oil prices higher to ~$105/bbl, increasing bear-flattening pressure on yields.
  • 3.UK Gilts face significant political risk premium due to heavy local election losses for the Labour Party and leadership uncertainty.

Table of Contents

  • USD
  • EUR
  • GBP
  • JPY
  • Important Information
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Evelyne Gomez

Securities

10Y US Treasury10Y Bund10Y GiltBrent Crude

Themes

Inflation SensitivityGeopolitics and EnergyPolitical Risk Premium

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesUnited KingdomJapan