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JPMorgan

May 14, 2026

What's Fueling Copper Above 14000

Market ReportCommoditiesEquitiesMaterialsInformation Technology

Copper has broken $14,000/ton due to recovering Chinese demand, AI-driven infrastructure needs, and severe supply disruptions in the Middle East. Analysts expect a structural deficit of 350,000 tons by 2027, supporting higher-for-longer pricing.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Copper prices have surged past $14,000/ton, driven by a combination of recovering Chinese demand and significant supply constraints.
  • 2.The AI infrastructure boom and data center buildouts are creating new, secular long-term demand for copper.
  • 3.Supply is being further restricted by sulfur shortages in the Middle East, specifically surrounding Hormuz.

Table of Contents

  • Charting our copper coverage

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Authors

Tyler DurdenAndrew TylerGreg Shearer

Securities

CopperJPM Global Copper BasketCOPXSPXBCOM

Themes

Global Growth RebootElectrification & AI InfrastructureSupply Chain Fragility

Regions

Middle EastAsia PacificChinaUnited States
Copper Prices Forecast: JPMorgan Analysis on $14,000 Rally | Finvaulta