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J.P. Morgan

May 19, 2026

Weekly Brief

Weekly UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsRates CreditInformation TechnologyEnergy

Emerging market equities are up over 20% in 2026, driven by AI-related tech demand in Korea and Taiwan. Despite the rally, valuations remain attractive as earnings upgrades outpace price gains.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Emerging market equities have risen over 20% YTD in 2026, primarily driven by tech sector gains in Korea and Taiwan linked to AI capital expenditure.
  • 2.EM valuations have actually decreased (from 13.3x to <12x forward P/E) despite price increases due to significant earnings upgrades in the tech sector.
  • 3.The technology sector now accounts for approximately 40% of the MSCI Emerging Markets index, making it more sensitive to global AI sentiment than local economic drivers.

Table of Contents

  • Thought of the week
  • Tech has been the driving force behind EM equity returns
  • The Week Ahead
  • Market statistics

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Authors

Author(s)

Securities

MSCI Emerging Markets IndexSPXBrent CrudeVIX

Themes

AI-Driven Equity ReturnsEmerging Markets DecouplingValuation Compression

Regions

Asia PacificEuropeLatin AmericaSouth KoreaTaiwanChina