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J.P. Morgan

June 26, 2026

US Weekly Prospects

Weekly UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyIndustrials

The report highlights a downward revision to 2Q GDP growth to 2.25% and persistent inflation concerns despite a recent drop in global oil prices. Fed policy remains a focus, with a divided committee leaning towards steady rates.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.J.P. Morgan trimmed 2Q GDP forecast to 2.25% from 3.0% due to trade deficit.
  • 2.Crude oil prices are falling, but gasoline pump prices remain high, delaying consumer inflation relief.
  • 3.The FOMC remains divided on rate hikes; key permanent voters appear to favor keeping rates steady.

Table of Contents

  • United States
  • Fedspeak finds dovish FOMC core
  • Immigration protections set to end
  • Growth message from business surveys
  • US Focus: A committee (not so) divided
  • Global Data Watch: While chasin' the clouds away
  • Pressures on CBs ease in EM, build for Fed
  • China in need of domestic demand
  • Japan's JPY370 trillion bet
  • Romania: Nearing political resolution
  • US Indicator forecasts

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Authors

Michael FeroliMichael S HansonAbiel ReinhartBennett Parrish

Themes

Energy price impactInflation persistenceMonetary policy divergence

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificLatin AmericaUnited StatesChinaJapan