J.P. Morgan
June 26, 2026
US Weekly Prospects
Weekly UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyIndustrials
The report highlights a downward revision to 2Q GDP growth to 2.25% and persistent inflation concerns despite a recent drop in global oil prices. Fed policy remains a focus, with a divided committee leaning towards steady rates.
Key Takeaways
- 1.J.P. Morgan trimmed 2Q GDP forecast to 2.25% from 3.0% due to trade deficit.
- 2.Crude oil prices are falling, but gasoline pump prices remain high, delaying consumer inflation relief.
- 3.The FOMC remains divided on rate hikes; key permanent voters appear to favor keeping rates steady.
Table of Contents
- United States
- Fedspeak finds dovish FOMC core
- Immigration protections set to end
- Growth message from business surveys
- US Focus: A committee (not so) divided
- Global Data Watch: While chasin' the clouds away
- Pressures on CBs ease in EM, build for Fed
- China in need of domestic demand
- Japan's JPY370 trillion bet
- Romania: Nearing political resolution
- US Indicator forecasts
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Authors
Michael FeroliMichael S HansonAbiel ReinhartBennett Parrish
Themes
Energy price impactInflation persistenceMonetary policy divergence
Regions
North AmericaAsia PacificLatin AmericaUnited StatesChinaJapan
