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J.P. Morgan

July 1, 2026

US Market Intelligence Morning Briefing

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesRates Govt BondsEnergyFinancials

JPM maintains a tactical bullish stance on US equities, citing record high consumer cash levels and expectations for a strong Q2 earnings season. The note also provides scenario analysis for the upcoming NFP report and highlights thematic investment opportunities.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.JPM maintains a Tactical Bullish outlook for US markets, anticipating that resilient consumer cash levels and robust Q2 earnings will drive stocks higher.
  • 2.The US labor market remains a key focus; JPM Market Intelligence estimates 125k jobs added in the upcoming NFP report.
  • 3.Consumer cash levels have reached a record high of $22.9T, supporting ongoing consumption and real GDP growth.

Table of Contents

  • IDEAS & INSIGHTS – IN BRIEF
  • JPM MARKET INTEL MORNING UPDATES
  • CATALYSTS TODAY (WEEK AHEAD)
  • JPM MARKET INTEL EQUITY & MACRO NARRATIVE
  • US MKT INTEL'S NFP SCENARIO ANALYSIS
  • GLOBAL MKT INTEL: MONTHLY THEMATIC NOTE
  • Positioning Intelligence | US Thematic Positioning Dashboard
  • MKT INTEL'S CONSUMER CASH PILE
  • US MKT INTEL VIEW
  • NEWS LINKS
  • WEEKLY ECONOMIC DATA / EARNINGS

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Authors

Andrew TylerFederico Manicardi

Securities

SPX

Themes

AI and Physical AI InfrastructureIndustrial Policy & ReshoringResilience of US ConsumerUSMCA Trade Policy

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesChinaJapan