J.P. Morgan
July 1, 2026
US Market Intelligence Morning Briefing
Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesRates Govt BondsEnergyFinancials
JPM maintains a tactical bullish stance on US equities, citing record high consumer cash levels and expectations for a strong Q2 earnings season. The note also provides scenario analysis for the upcoming NFP report and highlights thematic investment opportunities.
Key Takeaways
- 1.JPM maintains a Tactical Bullish outlook for US markets, anticipating that resilient consumer cash levels and robust Q2 earnings will drive stocks higher.
- 2.The US labor market remains a key focus; JPM Market Intelligence estimates 125k jobs added in the upcoming NFP report.
- 3.Consumer cash levels have reached a record high of $22.9T, supporting ongoing consumption and real GDP growth.
Table of Contents
- IDEAS & INSIGHTS – IN BRIEF
- JPM MARKET INTEL MORNING UPDATES
- CATALYSTS TODAY (WEEK AHEAD)
- JPM MARKET INTEL EQUITY & MACRO NARRATIVE
- US MKT INTEL'S NFP SCENARIO ANALYSIS
- GLOBAL MKT INTEL: MONTHLY THEMATIC NOTE
- Positioning Intelligence | US Thematic Positioning Dashboard
- MKT INTEL'S CONSUMER CASH PILE
- US MKT INTEL VIEW
- NEWS LINKS
- WEEKLY ECONOMIC DATA / EARNINGS
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Authors
Andrew TylerFederico Manicardi
Securities
SPX
Themes
AI and Physical AI InfrastructureIndustrial Policy & ReshoringResilience of US ConsumerUSMCA Trade Policy
Regions
North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesChinaJapan
