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J.P. Morgan

June 18, 2026

US Market Intelligence Morning Briefing

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXEnergyFinancials

J.P. Morgan analysts shifted to a 'Tactically Bullish' stance citing the positive implications of the US-Iran deal. Simultaneously, markets are recalibrating to a hawkish FOMC policy shift and elevated uncertainty under Chair Warsh.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.JPM shifted to Tactically Bullish based on the US-Iran deal providing a potential risk-on impulse.
  • 2.The FOMC decision and Warsh's press conference were interpreted as hawkish by markets.
  • 3.US Retail Sales data showed an upside surprise in the Control Group, reaffirming consumer health.

Table of Contents

  • IDEAS & INSIGHTS – IN BRIEF
  • JPM MARKET INTEL MORNING UPDATES
  • CATALYSTS TODAY (WEEK AHEAD)
  • JPM MARKET INTEL EQUITY & MACRO NARRATIVE
  • FEROLI ON FOMC
  • POST-FOMC RATES UPDATE (JAY BARRY)
  • US MKT INTEL VIEWS
  • NEWS LINKS
  • WEEKLY ECONOMIC DATA / EARNINGS

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Authors

Andrew TylerFederico ManicardiEllen WangVictoria Campos

Securities

AMZNNVDAVIX

Themes

Fed Policy UncertaintyUS-Iran DealAI Trade

Regions

GlobalEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesIranUK