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J.P. Morgan

June 17, 2026

US Market Intelligence Morning Briefing

Daily UpdateEquitiesCommoditiesRates CreditEnergyFinancials

J.P. Morgan shifts to a tactically bullish stance on US equities following a pending US-Iran agreement. The report also highlights a significant upward revision in AI capex forecasts for 2030.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Tactical stance on US equities shifted from cautious to bullish, driven by the potential US-Iran deal.
  • 2.Global AI capex estimates for 2030 raised to $5.5 trillion, with massive hyperscaler funding requirements emerging.
  • 3.Market focus is on Retail Sales and FOMC policy decision; historical patterns suggest 'everything rallies' may fade into concentrated leadership.

Table of Contents

  • IDEAS & INSIGHTS – IN BRIEF
  • JPM MARKET INTEL MORNING UPDATES
  • CATALYSTS TODAY (WEEK AHEAD)
  • JPM MARKET INTEL EQUITY & MACRO NARRATIVE
  • JPM AI CAPEX 2.0 DEEP DIVE
  • US MKT INTEL VIEWS – below are published in the June 15th Morning Briefing
  • NEWS LINKS
  • WEEKLY ECONOMIC DATA / EARNINGS
  • POLITICAL CATALYSTS

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Authors

Andrew TylerFederico ManicardiEllen WangVictoria Campos

Securities

SPXNDXNVDA

Themes

AI Infrastructure CapexUS-Iran Oil Diplomacy

Regions

GlobalEuropeUnited StatesIranJapan