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J.P. Morgan

May 20, 2026

US Market Intelligence Morning Briefing

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyConsumer Discretionary

J.P. Morgan maintains a tactically bullish outlook on US equities while flagging risks from bond yield volatility and a recent sharp momentum factor drawdown. The market's near-term direction hinges on NVIDIA's earnings and the afternoon's FOMC minutes.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The market focus is centered on NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings today, which acts as a major catalyst for Tech and Semi sentiment.
  • 2.JPM remains 'Tactically Bullish' on the US market but with reduced conviction due to potential Tech-led pullbacks and positioning risks.
  • 3.AI compute constraints remain a primary theme, with OpenAI stating they cannot buy enough compute to meet demand.

Table of Contents

  • IDEAS & INSIGHTS – IN BRIEF
  • JPM MARKET INTEL MORNING UPDATES
  • CATALYSTS TODAY (WEEK AHEAD)
  • JPM MARKET INTEL EQUITY & MACRO NARRATIVE
  • JPM TMC CONFERENCE DAY 2 RECAP – Brian Heavey
  • DELTA-ONE FLOWS & POSITIONING
  • US MKT INTEL VIEW
  • NEWS LINKS
  • WEEKLY ECONOMIC DATA / EARNINGS
  • US CALENDAR
  • GLOBAL CALENDAR
  • POLITICAL CATALYSTS

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Authors

Andrew TylerFederico ManicardiEllen WangVictoria Campos

Securities

NVDAINTCCHWYAVGOSTX

Themes

AI Monetization and Compute ConstraintsMomentum Factor ReversalGeopolitical Tensions (SoH/Middle East)

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaUnited Kingdom