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J.P. Morgan

July 1, 2026

US Market Intelligence Afternoon Briefing

Daily UpdateCommoditiesCryptoEquitiesEnergyFinancials

The report provides a summary of market movements following a semiconductor-led selloff, discussing the debate around AI CapEx and providing a Tactical Bullish outlook. It also previews the upcoming NFP data and provides updates on LLM token metrics.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The market experienced a selloff in semiconductors and memory, driven by debates over Meta's AI CapEx and broader de-grossing.
  • 2.J.P. Morgan Market Intelligence maintains a tactical bullish call for the US market ahead of the Q2 earnings season.
  • 3.Macro data for tomorrow (NFP) is central to the short-term outlook, with desks expecting a resilient economy.

Table of Contents

  • IDEAS & INSIGHTS – IN BRIEF
  • AFTERNOON UPDATES (NEWS LINKS)
  • CATALYSTS TOMORROW (FULL WEEK CALENDAR)
  • JPM MARKET INTEL EQUITY & MACRO NARRATIVE
  • LLM TOKEN TRACKER
  • THOUGHTS ISM-MFG
  • US MKT INTEL’S NFP SCENARIO ANALYSIS
  • TRADING DESK COMMENTARY
  • US MKT INTEL VIEWS
  • NEWS LINKS
  • WEEKLY ECONOMIC DATA / EARNINGS
  • US CALENDAR
  • ECONOMICS
  • EARNINGS
  • GLOBAL CALENDAR
  • POLITICAL CATALYSTS

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Authors

Andrew TylerFederico ManicardiEllen WangVictoria Campos

Securities

METARDDT

Themes

AI Infrastructure CapExDe-grossing and Market PositioningUS-China Trade RelationsUS Macro Economic Resilience

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesChinaJapan