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J.P. Morgan

May 25, 2026

US Energy: Megawatts, Molecules and Minerals

Market ReportEquitiesCommoditiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyUtilities

J.P. Morgan specialist sales Brendan Henrici argues that energy flows remain sticky despite volatility, and clean energy is entering a new growth phase led by IPPs and First Solar.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Energy ETF outflows are a myth; the sector has seen $2.4bn in net inflows in May alone and over $20bn YTD.
  • 2.Independent Power Producers (IPPs) are repositioning as hybrid solution providers for data centers, focusing on 'new capacity' including gas and storage.
  • 3.Clean energy is outperforming traditional energy (XLE) in 2026, yet investor net exposure remains near neutral (0 Z-score), suggesting a sustainable rally.

Table of Contents

  • Observations on Crowded Energy Trades
  • Dispelling the Energy Outflows Myth
  • The IPPire Strikes Back
  • Clean Energy Flows Pickup, Exposures Remain low
  • Time To Be Long FSLR?

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Authors

Brendan Henrici

Securities

FSLRTLNVSTCEGEOSEXLEICLN-USA

Themes

Energy Transition & AI Data CentersThe Resilience of Energy Capital FlowsRegulatory and Policy Catalysts in Renewables

Regions

North AmericaGlobalUnited StatesChina