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J.P. Morgan

June 30, 2026

US Consumer Confidence Flashes A Warning On Unemployment

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

The June consumer confidence report points to potential increases in unemployment, diverging from the steadier, more positive job openings data from the JOLTS report.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The June consumer confidence survey suggests that unemployment may rise further, contradicting the stable JOLTS report.
  • 2.The Conference Board labor market differential reached a new cycle low of 2.4% in June, a strong historical indicator of rising unemployment.
  • 3.JOLTS job openings remained at 4.6% in May, holding onto a prior month's spike, contrary to sentiment surveys.

Table of Contents

  • Consumer confidence
  • JOLTS
  • Job openings rate
  • Job openings rate, professional and business services
  • Weekly LinkUp average US job openings, top 10k global employers
  • Daily Indeed job postings
  • Layoff and discharges rate
  • Hires rate
  • Quits rate
  • Other Disclosures

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